This is a map of election results in Thurston County. It shows a fairly typical result by precinct. More liberal candidates (in this case Joel Hanson in last year's port race) doing well in the urban core and more conservative candidates (Amy Evans) doing well in rural areas.
This is a map of property taxes by acre on the parcel level in Thurston County:
Generally speaking, these are the same patterns. The same places that tend to vote for more conservative candidates also pay less property taxes per acre. This isn't exactly a new concept. Strong Towns, for example, pays a lot of attention to this concept of density paying off for local government finances. Their analysis goes even further and connects a simple tax by acre analysis (which I am doing) and brings in the cost of supplying services to low density rural and suburban areas, which is higher than urban, high density neighborhoods.
Here are a few closer looks, to see how the basic property tax by acre phenomena works.
Here is downtown Olympia:
Not only are the vast majority of the parcels blue (relatively high value), there are a lot of dark blue lots (the highest value category). The red areas in downtown Olympia are un-taxed public places like the Port of Olympia, the Capitol Campus and other government owned parcels. They aren't a good counter-example against the phenomena we're exploring here, they are just an illustration of the financial impact of being a state capitol.
Zooming out to Olympia overall now:
Lots of lighter blue, and most of the deeper blue is either newer developments or nodes of density around lower density, single-family neighborhoods.
The thing that stands out here to me is the older core of Lacey is mostly lighter blue.
Now the big map for me, the Rochester/Grand Mound area:
Thanks Emmett for the research and work. Yet another argument for density.
It's not surprising that relatively expensive property in the urban core pays more taxes per acre than rural property. (Though the article doesn't address it, I expect people living in the urban areas also pay more taxes per person or per household than people in the rural areas do.)
I don't think that gets at the big question about the multifamily tax exemption, as far as I'm concerned. That's whether all these expensive units would have been put up anyway, to meet market demand, without our giving those multi-million dollar tax breaks to Walker John and the other developers involved. (I don't know the answer to that question, but the same subsidy sat there for years without producing any residential development downtown, so perhaps it wasn't responsible for the development we've seen recently.)
Dear Emmett: Thanks for providing this interesting material for discussion. I hadn't thought the difference between rural and urban would be so stark. Brian Hovis
@Thad: I don't think proving the negative is necessary to see what the numbers show, that given the balance of the larger subsidy, the MFTE is very small and gets paid off fast.
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